Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.136332 0.159651 0.185315 0.215596 0.250283 0.288711 0.334442
2026-02-08 0.095076 0.125685 0.163101 0.211906 0.273561 0.348502 0.446089
2026-02-15 0.070522 0.102342 0.144470 0.203702 0.284095 0.388563 0.533578
2026-02-22 0.060545 0.094714 0.142924 0.214825 0.317999 0.459102 0.664672
2026-03-01 0.048703 0.081724 0.131145 0.208942 0.326341 0.494418 0.750013
2026-03-08 0.039372 0.070537 0.119799 0.201280 0.329984 0.521974 0.825293
2026-03-15 0.032742 0.062341 0.111549 0.196706 0.336891 0.553864 0.908502
2026-03-22 0.028902 0.058128 0.108955 0.200510 0.356795 0.606582 1.027044
2026-03-29 0.026462 0.055954 0.109387 0.209173 0.385127 0.674486 1.174374
2026-04-05 0.023731 0.052730 0.107430 0.213250 0.405806 0.731296 1.307779
2026-04-12 0.020964 0.048936 0.103840 0.213794 0.420101 0.778239 1.427941
2026-04-19 0.018512 0.045346 0.100097 0.213467 0.432530 0.822581 1.546460
2026-04-26 0.016088 0.041447 0.095313 0.210758 0.440651 0.860699 1.658438
2026-05-03 0.013927 0.037748 0.090425 0.207255 0.446920 0.896069 1.768496
2026-05-10 0.011733 0.033530 0.083781 0.199223 0.443338 0.912746 1.845503
2026-05-17 0.011198 0.033319 0.085957 0.210127 0.478732 1.005228 2.069226
2026-05-24 0.009628 0.030119 0.080816 0.204360 0.479115 1.030335 2.167245
2026-05-31 0.008184 0.026945 0.075240 0.196851 0.474920 1.045872 2.247560
2026-06-07 0.007102 0.024555 0.071207 0.192368 0.476711 1.073305 2.352788
2026-06-14 0.006542 0.023591 0.070645 0.196096 0.497031 1.139994 2.540760
2026-06-21 0.006240 0.023358 0.071965 0.204587 0.528906 1.232901 2.787778
2026-06-28 0.005777 0.022517 0.071524 0.208583 0.550686 1.305877 2.998153
2026-07-05 0.005233 0.021287 0.069823 0.209117 0.564298 1.362153 3.177007